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Writer's pictureSteve Potter

4/10/24 : TJ data - Just Sayin


Tommy John surgery isn’t an overnight epidemic for baseball players - it’s been a build up over 50 years with peak occurrences from 2014 to 2019 and a one year surge again in 2021.  The 2021 jump may be due to the inactivity from the shortened MLB season or no minor league season at all in 2020.


The number of TJ surgeries in the minor/major leagues has decreased the past two full seasons (2022 & 2023) according to a spreadsheet tracked by FanGraphs analyst Jon Roegele.   Maybe that’s due to new learnings and applications.


While I agree it’s an ongoing and significant concern - it’s certainly nothing new nor trending upwards according to this data base.  Here are the numbers by year.


2024 : 20

2023 : 94

2022 : 104

2021 : 161

2020 : 82

2019 : 136

2018 : 146

2017 : 160

2016 : 158

2015 : 171

2014 : 157

2013 : 112

2012 : 116

2011 : 80

2010 : 80

2009 : 76

2008 : 52

2007 : 72

2006 : 54

2005 : 55

2004 : 47

2003 : 47

2002 : 35

2001 : 33

2000 : 29

1974 to 1999 : 147


Average from 1974 to 1999 : 6

Average from 2000 to 2009 : 50

Average from 2010 to 2019 : 131

Average from 2020 to 2023 : 110 (discounted by 2020 short season)

Average from 2021 to 2023 : 120


Total from 1974 to 2023 : 2,004

50 year average (1974 to 2023) : 40


Just some data is all


Happy Day, Happy Baseball ⚾️





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